{"id":6529,"date":"2012-10-22T12:01:19","date_gmt":"2012-10-22T01:01:19","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/michaelwyres.com\/?p=6529"},"modified":"2012-10-22T12:01:19","modified_gmt":"2012-10-22T01:01:19","slug":"nbn-revenues-provide-interesting-calculations","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/michaelwyres.com.au\/mwdc\/2012\/10\/nbn-revenues-provide-interesting-calculations\/","title":{"rendered":"NBN Revenues Provide Interesting Calculations"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>There were some very interesting revenue figures released as part of <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"http:\/\/www.nbnco.com.au\/assets\/documents\/nbnco-annual-report-2012.pdf\">NBN Co&#8217;s Annual Report 2012<\/a> last Friday.<\/p>\n<p><center>\n<table border=\"0\" width=\"80%\" cellpadding\t=\"0\" cellspacing=\"0\">\n  <tr>\n    <td class=\"linkbox\"><a class=\"linkboxtext\" target=\"_blank\" href=\"http:\/\/www.zdnet.com\/au\/nbn-co-pulled-in-au2m-in-2011-2012-7000006100\/\">NBN Co Pulled In AU$2M In 2011-2012<\/td>\n  <\/tr>\n<\/table>\n<\/center>\n<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>&#8220;NBN Co has reported revenues of AU$2 million for the first year of commercial operations for the 13,536 premises connected to the National Broadband Network (NBN), ending June 30, 2012.&#8221;<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>The NBN when completed is designed to cover approximately 12 million premises.  If NBN Co can deliver $2 million in revenues over 13,356 premises, lets do some simple maths with the currently factual numbers.<\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n<p>Presuming a 75% uptake of NBN services across the twelve million premise footprint &#8211; (ie: nine million premises take up a service) &#8211; if 13,356 premises deliver $149.74 each &#8211; (to total two million dollars in 2012) &#8211; then nine million premises &#8211; (at the same rate) &#8211; would deliver a revenue flow of $1.34 billion.<\/p>\n<p>Furthermore, it is likely that the annual per-premise revenue will be higher than $149.74, because many &#8211; (in actual fact, most) &#8211; of those 13,356 premises would not have been connected to the NBN for the entire 12 months covered by the annual report.<\/p>\n<p>Given that the base wholesale NBN pricing is $24.00 per month, theoretically, the <i>minimum<\/i> annual per-premise revenue should be 12 times that figure, or $288.00 &#8211; which is more than double the figure in the annual report.<\/p>\n<p>Nine million premises, at $288.00 per premise gives a revenue flow of $2.52 billion.<\/p>\n<p>Not bad for a &#8220;white elephant&#8221; that will never pay for itself!  It should also be pointed out that NBN Co didn&#8217;t start charging ISPs until October 2011.<\/p>\n<p>I also suspect a lot of people will say something like &#8220;75% uptake?  They&#8217;re not even close to that!&#8221;.<\/p>\n<p>Sure.  That is true &#8211; right now.<\/p>\n<p>But as Telstra gradually decommission the copper network within the NBN fibre footprint, people on the existing copper network &#8211; (even if it is just for a telephone service only) &#8211; will necessarily need to be transferred to the NBN by their service provider to continue that service.<\/p>\n<p>Given also that it is <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"http:\/\/michaelwyres.com\/2011\/02\/nbn-end-user-services-taking-shape\/\">possible to have more than one service per premise<\/a>, it is technically possible for take up to go <i>beyond<\/i> 100 percent.<\/p>\n<p>So 75% might actually be a very cautious estimate.<\/p>\n<p>It <i>is<\/i> making money, and based on these current revenues, a completed NBN should be making a lot of money for a long, long time.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>There were some very interesting revenue figures released as part of NBN Co&#8217;s Annual Report 2012 last Friday. NBN Co Pulled In AU$2M In 2011-2012 &#8220;NBN Co has reported revenues of AU$2 million for the first year of commercial operations for the 13,536 premises connected to the National Broadband Network (NBN), ending June 30, 2012.&#8221; [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[5],"tags":[100,368],"class_list":["post-6529","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-technology","tag-auspol","tag-nbn"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/michaelwyres.com.au\/mwdc\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6529","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/michaelwyres.com.au\/mwdc\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/michaelwyres.com.au\/mwdc\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/michaelwyres.com.au\/mwdc\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/michaelwyres.com.au\/mwdc\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=6529"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/michaelwyres.com.au\/mwdc\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6529\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/michaelwyres.com.au\/mwdc\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=6529"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/michaelwyres.com.au\/mwdc\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=6529"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/michaelwyres.com.au\/mwdc\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=6529"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}